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The US share of world exports is slipping, and Trump’s China spat has led to an ‘alarming’ slump in global trade

Trade volumes fell by 1.4% in the year to June, the worst performance in nearly a decade. Pantheon Macroeconomics sees a drag on US GDP into 2020.
Bank of America says job growth is a good indicator of economic decline.

US jobs data is yet another worrying recession red flag — and Bank of America sees growth ‘bottoming out’ in early 2020

Payrolls data is among the "empirically reliable indicators of future growth," Bank of America says. "All have changed in a negative way" since 2017.
Job growth could suffer later in the year.

Ignore Trump on jobs — ‘A real slowdown is coming’ even if payrolls crush it, says Pantheon Macroeconomics

"Don't be deceived," by a strong jobs number, says the chief economist at Pantheon, who expects "sub 100,000 payroll gains by November."

‘We’ve only just begun to fall’: A closely watched economic bellwether is looking bleak

Data released Friday confirmed that the month of February saw Korean overseas sales drop 11.1%. This marked the sharpest decline since April 2016.

‘Verdammt’: Just when you thought the worst was over, Germany’s economy moved dangerously close to falling ‘over the edge̵...

Germany's economy avoided a recession at the end of 2018, but the picture likely got worse at the start of 2019, according to data released Friday.
The parched Rhine is drying up German growth.

Europe’s mightiest river is drying up, most likely causing a recession in Germany. Yes, really.

The Rhine is crucial for German industry because it provides an avenue for the distribution of raw materials to German manufacturers.
President Donald Trump's new tariffs on Chinese goods will drive up costs on many everyday products.

Trump’s latest tariffs are about to hit you where it really hurts

President Donald Trump's newest round of tariffs on $200 billion worth of Chinese goods is the first time during the US-China trade war that consumer goods will get hit with duties. This could lead to a price increase for the average American shopper.

There’s a counterintuitive argument that preparations for a nightmare Brexit will actually be good for the UK economy

With the odd exception, the vast majority of economists covering Britain are agreed on one thing — a disorderly, no deal Brexit will be universally bad news for the British economy.
A clothes shop tries to sell the last of its stock before closing down on February 1, 2012 in Stoke-On-Trent, England. Staffordshire has borne the brunt of the economic downturn with the loss of 21,100 manufacturing jobs which have fallen from 74,200 in 2006/07 to 53,100 in 2010/11, the highest in the UK according to a survey by the GMB union.

Brits have suddenly stopped shopping — and it’s a worrying omen for the economy

"Even once we take account of these seasonal distortions, the underlying trend in sales growth is heading downwards," the British Retail Consortium's chief executive Helen Dickinson said in a statement.