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The model uses "a range of data spanning economic conditions, financial markets and gauges of underlying stress."
The market’s favorite recession indicator reverts back to safe territory for the first time in months
"We're seeing rates lifted on that positive news and equities are following," said Charlie Ripley of Allianz Investment Management.
The Duke professor who uncovered the yield curve’s recession warning says it’s time to start preparing for another downturn
Professor Campbell Harvey has also said the inverted yield curve is sending the economy a "code red" signal.
Negative yields "could be the direction in which we're heading," Ed Yardeni, chief investment strategist at Yardeni Research told Markets Insider.
Wall Street banks are expected to warn that falling rates are hammering business — and analysts fear sweeping cuts to forecasts
Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, and other banking giants are expected to temper their outlooks, fanning fears of earnings downgrades.
"Investors have piled into gold because, fundamentally, they are worried about the state of the global economy," says one analyst.
The market’s favorite recession indicator has been wrong twice since 1950. Here’s why some investors say it’s flashing a false posit...
Even if a recession does follow this particular inversion, it doesn't necessarily mean that the recession is right around the corner.
The market’s safest assets are offering investors record-low returns — and it’s left them no place to hide from recession fears
"It's certainly scary when you see yields fall so sharply, and when you see the yield curve inverted," said Collin Martin of Charles Schwab.
Here's everything you need to know about yield curve inversions, including why Wall Street cares, how they happen, and what comes after.
The "staggering" spread between short and long-term bonds is adding to recession fears. Global stocks fell, while US futures signaled a flattish open.